A DIAGNOSTIC CRITERION
FOR APPROXIMATE FACTOR STRUCTURE
GAGLIARDINI, P. *, OSSOLA, E. **, and SCAILLET, O. ***
* University della Svissera Italiana (USI Lugano) and Swiss Finance Institute ** European Commission, Joint Research Centre
***
Université de Genève and Swiss Finance Institute
Abstract
We build a simple diagnostic criterion for approximate factor structure in large cross-sectional equity datasets.
Given observable factors, the criterion checks whether the errors are weakly cross-sectionally correlated or share at
least one unobservable common factor (interactive effects). A general version allows to determine the number of
omitted common factors also for time-varying structures. The empirical analysis runs on ten thousand US stocks
from January 1968 to December 2011. For monthly returns, we select time-invariant specifications with at least
four financial factors, and a scaled three-factor specification. For quarterly returns, we cannot select macroeconomic
models without the market factor.
Keywords : large panel, approximate factor model, asset pricing, model selection, interactive fixed effects.
JEL : C12, C13, C23, C51, C52, C58, G12.